Probabilistic scoring for stochastic branching process model, regression models and Gott’s Law.
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Date of prediction, vaccine coverage, inclusion of suspected cases and log-likelihood. For the regression model: Method 1—Theil Sen regression with a pseudo-log transformation. Method 2—OLS Linear Regression without transformation. Our mathematical models were scored against the actual outbreak size of 54 EVD cases. Note: “-”indicates that the model did not include vaccine coverage.
创建时间:
2019-03-07



