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What Does Futures Market Interest Tell Us about the Macroeconomy and Asset Prices?

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NBER2011-01-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Economists have traditionally viewed futures prices as fully informative about future economic activity and asset prices. We argue that open interest could be more informative than futures prices in the presence of hedging demand and limited risk absorption capacity in futures markets. We find that

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2011-01-01
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