Project files

The project files contained herein include a series of modules containing functions for fitting Generalized Additive Models between solar indices and estimates of Solar EUV irradiance in multiple wavelength bands. Data preparation is acheived with solarPrepare.py, which leverages a series of functions contained in solarStats.py, and execution (model fitting and error analysis) is performed by solarEval.py. GAMs are fit in 55 wavelength bans between Lyman-alpha, Sunspot Number, F10.7, and FISM2 irradiances, while comparisons are made with respect to irradiances measured by the TIMED/SEE satellite. This project shows (1) the utility and power of the FISM2 estimates for robust space weather nowcasting and (2) how GAMs may be used to extend the FISM2 estimates during periods of data outages by leveraging minimal existing solar index information. The provided GAMs can also be used for forecasting, when provided with estimates of the future values of solar indices.