Global TerrestrialWater Storage Reconstruction Using Cyclostationary Empirical Orthogonal Functions (1979–2020)

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) anomalies derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission have been useful for several earth science applications, ranging from global earth system science studies to regional water management. However, the relatively short record of GRACE has limited its use in understanding the climate-driven interannual-to-decadal variability in TWS. Targeting these timescales, we used the novel method of cyclostationary empirical orthogonal functions (CSEOFs) and the common modes of variability of TWS with precipitation and temperature to reconstruct the TWS record of 1979–2020. Using the same common modes of variability, we also provide a realistic, time-varying uncertainty estimate of the reconstructed TWS. The interannual variability in the resulting TWS record is consistent in space and time, and links the global variations in TWS to the regional ones. In particular, we highlight improvements in the representation of ENSO variability when compared to other available TWS reconstructions.