Estimating Firecracker Emissions Through Air Quality Index (AQI) Models: A Comprehensive Guide

Firecracker usage during festivals significantly affects air quality, evident through spikes in the Air Quality Index (AQI). This study outlines a model for estimating firecracker quantities based on observed AQI levels. By analyzing historical AQI data, emission factors, and baseline pollution, we calculate excess AQI attributable to firecracker emissions. Our findings indicate that if AQI levels remain consistently elevated, the total worth of firecrackers used in India could range from approximately ₹20.28 billion to ₹60.86 billion, equating to about 20.28 million kg to 60.86 million kg of firecrackers. Specifically, in New Delhi, the estimated total quantity ranges between 263.9 kg and 791.7 kg, translating to a financial impact of ₹263,900 to ₹791,700. These estimations highlight the importance of comprehensive data on firecracker emissions and usage patterns across regions to refine models and inform public policy. Future research should focus on detailed assessments of these variables to mitigate air pollution during peak usage periods, balancing cultural practices with public health considerations.

节日期间烟花的使用对空气质量产生显著影响，这通过空气质量指数（AQI）的急剧上升得以体现。本研究概述了一种基于观测到的AQI水平估算烟花数量的模型。通过分析历史AQI数据、排放系数和基础污染水平，我们计算了由烟花排放引起的超额AQI。研究发现，如果AQI水平持续升高，印度使用的烟花总价值可能在约200.28亿至608.6亿卢比之间，相当于约2028万至6086万公斤的烟花。具体而言，在新德里，估算的总数量介于263.9公斤至791.7公斤之间，相应的财务影响为2639万卢比至7917万卢比。这些估算突显了全面收集各地区烟花排放和用量模式数据的重要性，以优化模型并指导公共政策。未来的研究应着重于对这些变量的详细评估，以减轻高峰使用期间的空气污染，在维护文化习俗的同时考虑公共卫生因素。