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Economic resilience: The usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries

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Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development2026-04-11 收录
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https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/economic-resilience-the-usefulness-of-early-warning-indicators-in-oecd-countries_5jrxhgfqx3mv-en.html
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The global financial crisis and the high associated costs have revived the academic and policy interest in “early warning indicators” of crises. This paper provides empirical evidence on the usefulness of a new set of vulnerability indicators, proposed in a companion paper (Röhn et al., 2015), in predicting severe recessions and crises in OECD...
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