NCOM forecasts, 50 m resolution, Gulf of Mexico, during the SCOPE experiment, December 2013

The numerical model is the Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM) (Barron et. al, 2006). A single-nested domain is constructed for the experiment covering the entire Gulf of Mexico. The domain is forced by boundary conditions from the operational global NCOM (Barron et al., 2006). The vertical setup is uses with 34 sigma levels >and 16 Z levels beneath (50 total levels). Sigma levels cover the surface to 550m depth, and the Z levels cover the lower water column. The thinnest layer at the surface has a thickness of 0.5m, and deeper layers telescope to the thickest sigma layer of 85m at a depth of 510m. The high resolution in the surface is intended to properly represent submesoscale physics. Both model experiments are forced by the same atmospheric conditions from the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS, Rosmond et. al, 2002; Goerss, 2009). The surface wind stress is determined from the atmospheric model wind velocity. Surface heat fluxes are computed using bulk flux formulations that use the 10-m air-temperature and humidity along with the ocean model SST. Tidal potential forcing is applied to the inner domain, and tidal boundary conditions for water level and barotropic velocity are provided by the Oregon State University global Ocean Tide Inverse Solution (OTIS) (Egbert and Erofeeva, 2002). Thus, locally generated internal tides are present in the model. Data assimilation is used to produce similar mesoscale structure in the experiment. In the analysis cycle each day, all data over the 24 hours prior to 00Z for the present day are used in the analysis. The analysis is accomplished through a 3D variational (3DVar) approach (Cummings, 2005). Observation increments are computed by differencing observation values and model forecasts at the same time. The analysis increment is inserted into a 24 hour hindcast by rerunning the model over the prior 24 hours and adding the analysis divided by the number of time steps to the state variables throughout the 24 hour hindcast. This represents a correction to the slowly evolving state field rather than resetting the initial condition at 00Z. Direct insertion of the corrections and resetting the initial conditions can generate spurious internal and inertial waves that, in ocean models, require several days to damp out. The 24 hour forecast then provides the background for the next assimilation cycle. The horizontal covariance length scales used are based on latitudinally varying Rossby radius of deformation and vertical scales are based vertical gradients. The Rossby radius varies from 80 km at the southern extent of the domain to 31 km at the northern extent. A factor of 0.82 is used to scale the Rossby radius to provide the decorrelation length scales in the MVOI resulting in an average decorrelation scale of 45 km. Satellite SSH and SST observations are used to construct synthetic profiles through subsurface covariances (Fox et al., 2002) which are used in the 3DVar. Barron, C.N., A.B. Kara, P.J. Martin, and R.C. Rhodes (2006), Formulation, implementation and examination of the vertical coordinate choices in the Global Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM), Ocean Modelling, 11, 347-375. Egbert, G. D., and S. Y. Erofeeva (2002), Efficient inverse modeling of barotropic ocean tides. J. Atmos. Oceanic Tec., 19, 183-204. Fox, D. N., C. N. Barron, M. R. Carnes, M. Booda, G. Peggion and J. V. Gurley (2002), The Modular Ocean Data Assimilation System, Oceanography, 15, 22-28. Rosmond, T. E., J. Teixeira, M. Peng, T. F. Hogan and R. Pauley (2002), Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS): Forcing for ocean models, Oceanography, 15, 99–108. Barron, C.N., A.B. Kara, R.C. Rhodes, C. Rowley and L.F. Smedstad (2007), Validation Test Report for the 1/8 Global Navy Coastal Ocean Model Nowcast/Forecast System, NRL Tech Report NRL/MR/7320--07-9019, Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC. This is NCOM run B06. This dataset was created by the Consortium for Advanced Research on Transport of Hydrocarbon in the Environment (CARTHE). This research was made possible by a grant from BP/The Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative.