The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear function
This paper proposes a robust one-pass estimator that is easy to code: Justified by the market-model itself and using a prior that market-betas should not be less than 2 and more than +4, the market-mo
Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modeling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modeling, the number
Abstract–In this article, we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices, where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We