Modeling assumptions for infectious diseases incidence.

Estimated prevalence (cases per 100,000 people) of Mtb in the young (age group of the 15 to 24-year-olds) and the general population [42–44]. Estimated incidence (new cases per 100,000 people) of SARS-CoV-2 using a consistent approach (see Methods) based on estimates of excess mortality [47] and time-updated, country-specifc infection-fatality ratios [48]. Reported incidence (new cases per 100,000 people) of SARS-CoV-2 in the young age group of the 10 to 20-year-olds) of Switzerland [51] and in the general population of South Africa [50] and Switzerland [51]. Incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Tanzania is not shown because it has barely been reported [45, 46].