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Belief Overreaction and Stock Market Puzzles

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NBER2020-06-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We construct an index of long term expected earnings growth for S&P500 firms and show that it has remarkable power to jointly predict errors in these expectations and stock returns, in both the aggregate market and the cross section. The evidence supports a mechanism whereby good news cause

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2020-06-01
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