Origin-Country Social Protection and Migration Intentions: Causal Evidence from Tunisia*

This replication package reproduces all results presented in “Origin-Country Social Protection and Migration Intentions: Causal Evidence from Tunisia” (ECMODE-D-25-01962R1). It contains the original Tunisia-HIMS 2021 non-migrant dataset (as provided by the Tunisian National Institute of Statistics), the cleaned analytical dataset used in the estimations, and a single master do-file that executes the full workflow: sample construction, weight recalibration, variable creation, IPWRA estimation, Double Machine Learning robustness checks, trimming procedures, Oster sensitivity analysis, heterogeneity analysis, and appendix tables. All results reported in the manuscript can be reproduced by running the master do-file in Stata 16–18. For detailed instructions and additional information, please refer to the accompanying README.pdf file.
*Version 3 (Revised after referee comments).
This version corrects folder structure issues, harmonizes the analytical sample, and includes the final cleaned dataset used in the final estimations.