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Understanding Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Black Swans

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NBER2014-08-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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A fruitful emerging literature reveals that shocks to uncertainty can explain asset returns, business cycles and financial crises. The literature equates uncertainty shocks with changes in the variance of an innovation whose distribution is common knowledge. But how do such shocks arise? This paper

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2014-08-01
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