Replication Data for: "The Behavioral Consequences of Election Outcomes: Evidence from campaign contributions"

Existing research offers competing predictions as to whether election outcomes affect the future political behavior of the individuals who supported a candidate. Drawing on a dataset of millions of donors across thousands of candidates in different races, we employ a series of regression discontinuities to estimate the effect of donating to a candidate who barely wins as opposed to one who barely loses. We find that winning donors were substantially more likely to donate in the future to that same office type. These effects are often large and occur even during cycles where their original candidate would not be up for reelection. Our results show that the consequences of election outcomes extend beyond just control of a particular seat, to the future behavior of ordinary citizens.