Adjusted Paleo-Conditioned Hydrology Ensemble that Characterizes Warming-Driven Declining Streamflow in the Colorado River Basin

This resource contains streamflow sequences (or traces or time series) for the adjusted paleo-conditioned ensemble generated to represent the plausible storyline of \"Increasing Variability Around a Declining Mean\" in the Colorado River Basin, as described by Salehabadi, Tarboton et al. (2024). This warming-driven declining streamflow ensemble was created by adjusting the marginal distribution of stationary streamflow time series, generated using the Nonparametric Paleo-Conditioning (NPC) method (Prairie et al., 2008), to incorporate the estimated decline and increasing variability of future flow. The streamflow data is available in two formats: Excel Files and CRSS-Ready-To-Use Input Files, with a starting year of 2024 and an ending year of 2100. CRSS-Ready-To-Use Input Files include all necessary water supply data required to run the Colorado River Simulation System (CRSS) and are ready to be directly imported into the model.

This resource holds the data generated in:
Salehabadi, H., Tarboton, D. G., Wheeler, K. G., Prairie, J., Smith, R., & Baker, S. (2024). Developing Storylines of Plausible Future Streamflow and Generating a New Warming-Driven Declining Streamflow Ensemble: Colorado River Case Study. Water Resources Research. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038618