Modified MRC Grading for TBM.

IntroductionTuberculous meningitis (TBM) leads to high mortality, especially amongst individuals with HIV. Predicting the incidence of disease-related complications is challenging, for which purpose the value of brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has not been well investigated. We used a convolutional neural network (CNN) to explore the complementary contribution of brain MRI to the conventional prognostic determinants.MethodsWe pooled data from two randomised control trials of HIV-positive and HIV-negative adults with clinical TBM in Vietnam to predict the occurrence of death or new neurological complications in the first two months after the subject’s first MRI session. We developed and compared three models: a logistic regression with clinical, demographic and laboratory data as reference, a CNN that utilised only T1-weighted MRI volumes, and a model that fused all available information. All models were fine-tuned using two repetitions of 5-fold cross-validation. The final evaluation was based on a random 70/30 training/test split, stratified by the outcome and HIV status. Based on the selected model, we explored the interpretability maps derived from the models.Results215 patients were included, with an event prevalence of 22.3%. On the test set our non-imaging model had higher AUC (71.2% 1.1%) than the imaging-only model (67.3% 2.6%). The fused model was superior to both, with an average AUC = 77.3% 4.0% in the test set. The non-imaging variables were more informative in the HIV-positive group, while the imaging features were more predictive in the HIV-negative group. All three models performed better in the HIV-negative cohort. The interpretability maps show the model’s focus on the lateral fissures, the corpus callosum, the midbrain, and peri-ventricular tissues.ConclusionImaging information can provide added value to predict unwanted outcomes of TBM. However, to confirm this finding, a larger dataset is needed.