Housing Inventory Projection (HIP) method

This project presents a method for predicting the spatiotemporal changes of single-family housing units across a region (multi-county) for a multi-decade projection period. As a case study, we predicted the annual number of single-family housing units over a one square-kilometer grid space in North Carolina between 2020 and 2049 and compared projected hurricane impacts in 2020 versus 2049. Spatiotemporal changes in the housing inventory are estimated using the newly-developed "Housing Inventory Projection" (HIP) method by first sourcing annual county-level housing unit projections in North Carolina (see Data Depot PRJ-3303) followed by an estimation of the likely location of new housing units using a newly-developed "Allocation Model". This project provides the data processing method, the Allocation Model development method, the HIP method, and analysis. Supporting Publication: Williams, C. J., R. A. Davidson, L. K. Nozick, M. Millea, J. L. Kruse, and J. E. Trainor (2023). “Single-family housing inventory projection method for natural hazard risk modeling applications.” Natural Hazards.