five

Predictable Financial Crises

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NBER2020-06-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w27396
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Using historical data on post-war financial crises around the world, we show that crises are substantially predictable. The combination of rapid credit and asset price growth over the prior three years, whether in the nonfinancial business or the household sector, is associated with about a 40%
创建时间:
2020-06-01
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