Impact on global economy due to climate change by scenario Q4 2048

Climate change is a phenomenon which has been evident since the Industrial Revolution and has progressed more quickly over the last decades. It has environmental, human health, social, political and economic implications worldwide. A forecast for the end of 2048 indicates that several countries globally would face a negative deviation from their baseline GDP. Based on this projection for Q4 2048, Saudi Arabia is projected to experience a decrease of almost 11 percent in its real GDP, in a scenario where global temperatures increase by 4.1 degrees Celsius, compared to the period from 1986 to 2005.

气候变化是一种自工业革命以来便显而易见的自然现象，其在近几十年间呈现出加速发展的态势。这一现象在全球范围内对环境、人类健康、社会、政治和经济产生了深远的影响。据对2048年末的预测，全球多个国家将面临其基线国内生产总值（GDP）的负偏差。基于对2048年第四季度的预测，沙特阿拉伯在假设全球气温上升4.1摄氏度的情景下，其实际GDP预计将较1986年至2005年期间下降近11%。