Root Mean Square Difference between the nine ensemble member change anomalies of the seasonal total rainfall for the 10% percentile for 2066-2095 relative to 1976-2005, for the SON season, under the RCP 4.5 pathway|气候变化预测数据集|模型不确定性分析数据集

Root Mean Square Difference for seasonal (SON) rainfall (mm per month) change from the 10% percentile projected for 2066-2095, relative to present (1976 - 2005), under the RCP 4.5 pathway for the southern African region. To generate the image, nine coarse General Circulation Models (GCM) are downscaled to a finer spatial resolution (0.44°x 0.44°) using the Rossby Centre regional model (RCA4) forcing its lateral boundaries. The model simulated daily rainfall averages, which are used to generate projections of seasonal change. The projections are generated using the medium to low (RCP4.5) pathway which associates CO2 concentrations of approximately 560ppm by the year 2100. The associated RMSD it calculated and shows the uncertainty range of the projected model simulated residual values, and gives a relative perspective of spatial areas associated with higher and lower projection uncertainties.