Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?
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Surveys do! We examine the forecasting power of four alternative methods of forecasting U.S. inflation out-of-sample: time series ARIMA models; regressions using real activity measures motivated from the Phillips curve; term structure models that include linear, non-linear, and arbitrage-free
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
2005-08-01
