How Do We Know What We Know? Learning from Monte Carlo Simulations

Monte Carlo simulations are commonly used to test the performance of estimators and models from rival methods under a range of data generating processes. This tool improves our understanding of the relative merits of rival methods in different contexts, such as varying sample sizes and violations of assumptions. When used, it is common to report the bias and/or the root mean squared error of the different meth- ods. It is far less common to report the standard deviation, overconfidence, coverage probability, or power. Each of these six performance statistics provides important, and often differing, information regarding a method’s performance. Here, we present a structured way to think about Monte Carlo performance statistics. In replications of three prominent papers, we demonstrate the utility of our approach and provide new substantive results about the performance of rival methods.