Road to Divorce in Tanzania: What are the Main Factors?

This study examines the road to divorce in Tanzania from 2018 to 2022 based on court records filed by RITA (Registration, Insolvency and Trustee Registration Agency). It applies Bayesian negative binomial regression appropriate for count data and small samples using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation and Gibbs sampling. The results show that the mean coefficients for conflict, cruelty, desertion, alcohol addiction, adultery, consummate failure, financial difficulties, misconduct, communication problems, jealousy and insecurity; and lack of commitment all have positive effects on divorce in Tanzania. The road to top five factors leading divorce in the country includes conflicts, failure to consummate, adultery, desertion and cruelty. Our study provides insights into divorce ending intervention in Tanzania.