Projections of Population, Housing, & Employment for Maricopa and Pinal Counties, AZ, 2023

These data represent Socioeconomic Projections for the MAG Region by municipal planning area (MPA)*,adopted June 28, 2023, by the MAG Regional Council. An official set of projections is required to be used in transportation, air quality, and water quality management plans, as well as providing the base for all other regional planning activities. Current projections, therefore, are integral for managing future growth. The development of socioeconomic projections requires the collection and merging of a substantial amount of data from varying sources with differing data quality and resolution. These data include the following: Population and Housing: American Community Survey 5-year data (2017-2021),MAG Residential Completions database, County Property Assessment data, MAG/Arizona Department of Administration (ADOA) Annual Population Estimates. Group Quarters (Institutional and Non-institutional): MAG group quarters inventory. Detailed Population Characteristics: American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) - 5-year data (2017-2021). Employment: MAG Employer Database, county level control totals developed from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages and Bureau of Labor Statistics (QCEW/BLS) data. Residential Completions: Current through 2022Q4, submitted and reviewed by MAG member agencies. Existing Land Use: Land use current as of December 2022, reviewed by MAG Population Technical Advisory Committee (POPTAC). Built Space: Maricopa County Assessor’s data current as of July 2022. Future Plans: General Plans current as of December 2022 or later, reviewed by MAG POPTAC. Development Data: data current as of 2023Q2 or later, reviewed by MAG POPTAC. TAZ system: TAZ2021b supplied by MAG Transportation Division. Educational institutions: Inventory of schools from Arizona Department of Education and post high school institutions. Mobile Home and RV Parks: Inventory of mobile home and RV parks. Retirement Areas: Age restricted communities reviewed by MAG POPTAC. Hotels/Motels/Resorts: Inventory of hotels/motels. For full documentation on the model process, please consult the Socioeconomic Projections Documentation: Data, Models, Methods, and Assumptions in the MAG Socioeconomic Projections 2023 on the MAG website at https://www.azmag.gov. These projections were adopted by the MAG Regional Council on June 28, 2023 for the MAG planning area. Areas outside of the MAG planning area are not adopted by the MAG Regional Council, but are prepared on behalf of Central Arizona Governments (CAG) and adopted separately. *Municipal planning areas are determined by the MAG member agencies in consultation with MAG staff. The MPAs identify the anticipated future corporate limits of a city or town.本数据集为MAG区域按市政规划区（Municipal Planning Area, MPA）*划分的社会经济预测数据，已于2023年6月28日经MAG区域委员会审议通过。 官方认可的这套预测数据，可用于交通、空气质量与水质管理规划，并可作为所有其他区域规划活动的基础支撑。因此，当前的预测数据对于未来增长的管理工作至关重要。 社会经济预测数据的编制，需要收集并整合来自多个不同数据源的海量数据，且这些数据源的数据质量与分辨率各不相同。本次使用的数据涵盖以下类别： 1. 人口与住房：美国社区调查（American Community Survey, ACS）5年期（2017-2021）数据、MAG住宅竣工数据库、郡县财产评估数据、MAG/亚利桑那州行政厅（Arizona Department of Administration, ADOA）年度人口估算数据。 2. 集体住宿设施（机构型与非机构型）：MAG集体住宿设施清单。 3. 详细人口特征：美国社区调查（ACS）公共使用微数据样本（Public Use Microdata Sample, PUMS）5年期（2017-2021）数据。 4. 就业：MAG雇主数据库、基于就业与工资季度普查（Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, QCEW）与美国劳工统计局（Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS）数据编制的郡县级控制总量数据。 5. 住宅竣工情况：数据更新至2022年第四季度，由MAG成员机构提交并审核。 6. 土地利用现状：数据截至2022年12月，经MAG人口技术咨询委员会（Population Technical Advisory Committee, POPTAC）审核。 7. 建成空间：马里科帕县评估办公室数据，更新至2022年7月。 8. 未来规划：总体规划数据截至2022年12月及之后版本，经MAG人口技术咨询委员会（POPTAC）审核。 9. 开发数据：数据截至2023年第二季度及之后版本，经MAG人口技术咨询委员会（POPTAC）审核。 10. 交通分析区（Traffic Analysis Zone, TAZ）系统：由MAG交通部门提供的TAZ2021b版本数据。 11. 教育机构：亚利桑那州教育部提供的学校清单及高等院校清单。 12. 移动住房与房车营地：移动住房及房车营地清单。 13. 养老区域：经MAG人口技术咨询委员会（POPTAC）审核的年龄限制型社区。 14. 酒店/汽车旅馆/度假村：酒店及汽车旅馆清单。 如需获取模型编制流程的完整文档，请访问MAG官方网站https://www.azmag.gov，查阅《2023年MAG社会经济预测文档：数据、模型、方法与假设》。 本套预测数据已于2023年6月28日经MAG区域委员会审议通过，适用于MAG规划区域。MAG规划区域外的相关数据未获MAG区域委员会通过，而是由亚利桑那州中部政府联盟（Central Arizona Governments, CAG）代为编制，并单独获得审议通过。 *市政规划区由MAG成员机构会同MAG工作人员共同确定。MPAs即指城市或城镇未来预期的行政边界范围。