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Predictive Systems: Living with Imperfect Predictors

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NBER2008-02-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We develop a framework for estimating expected returnsa predictive system that allows predictors to be imperfectly correlated with the conditional expected return. When predictors are imperfect, the estimated expected return depends on past returns in a manner that hinges on the correlation between

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2008-02-01
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