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Expected and Predicted Realignments: The FF/DM Exchange Rate During the EMS

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NBER1991-04-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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An empirical model of time-varying realignment risk in an exchange rate target zone is developed. Expected rates of devaluation are estimated as the difference between interest race differentials and estimated expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, using French Franc/Deutsche

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1991-04-01
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