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Diagnostic Business Cycles

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NBER2021-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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A large psychology literature argues that, due to selective memory recall, decision-makers' forecasts of their future circumstances appear overly influenced by the new information embedded in their current circumstances. We adopt the diagnostic expectations (DE) paradigm (Bordalo et al. (2018)) to

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2021-03-01
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