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Various outcomes concerning the correctness of an early warning metric, based on whether an alarms is given (A) or not (), and whether within the time horizon the macro-state transitions (O) or not ().

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Figshare2019-06-06 更新2026-04-29 收录
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Precision in time is assessed by the predicted time lag τalarm, the actual time of transitioning τ0 and a bandwidth ϵ. Outcomes are as in the text: various types of false alarms (FA), missed alarms (MA), hits (H) and correct rejections (CR).

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2019-06-06
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