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The Dominant Role of Expectations and Broad-Based Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation

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NBER2024-04-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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The object of this paper is to assess the role of supply shocks, labour market tightness and expectation formation in explaining bouts of inflation. We begin by showing that a quasi-flat Phillips curve, which was popular prior to the pandemic, still fits the post-2020 US data well and that changes

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2024-04-01
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