Results of the Uncertainty Analysis.

An uncertainty analysis is used to assess the accuracy of the projections made, giving the percentage at which it’s likely to achieve (or exceed) the projected (base) value. (Example: the costs of hospital admission period are likely to be higher than the projections in 37% of the cases.) The uncertainty analysis also gives the averages (certainty equal to 50%) and the confidence intervals (the most likely values ranging from 10% to 90% percentiles). Results of the Uncertainty Analysis.