Medium Term Economic Forecast

London’s Economic Outlook is GLA Economics’ London forecast. The forecasts are issued every six months to assist those preparing planning projections for London in the medium term. The report contains the following:

* An overview of recent economic conditions in London, the UK and the world economies with analysis of important events, trends and risks to short and medium-term growth.
* The ‘consensus forecast’ – a review of independent forecasts indicating the range of views about London’s economy and the possible upside and downside risk. In this context, ‘consensus forecast’ refers to the average of the independent forecasters (Cambridge Econometrics, The Centre for Economic and Business Research, Experian Economics, and Oxford Economics)
* The GLA Economics forecast for output, employment, household expenditure and household income in London.

Provided below are links to the current and previous versions of GLA Economics' medium term forecast for the level and growth rate of London's GVA, employment, household income and household expenditure. Forecasts for the growth and level of employment and GVA for selected sectors of the economy are also included.

* All output variables are measured in terms of output at basic prices. The price base for the latest dataset is 2011.
* All growth rates are in percentage change per annum.
* All employment levels are in millions.
* All output levels are in £bn.

伦敦经济展望系由大伦敦署经济部门（GLA Economics）编制的伦敦地区经济预测报告。该预测每半年发布一次，旨在协助伦敦中长期规划预测的制定。报告内容涵盖以下方面：

* 对伦敦、英国及全球经济近期状况的概述，包括对重要事件、趋势及短期和中期增长风险的分析。
* ‘共识预测’——对独立预测的综述，反映了对伦敦经济及其潜在上涨和下跌风险的多种观点。在此语境下，‘共识预测’指的是独立预测师（剑桥经济计量学、经济与商业研究中心、益博睿经济部门及牛津经济部门）的平均预测。
* 大伦敦署经济部门对伦敦产出、就业、家庭支出和家庭收入的预测。

下文提供的是大伦敦署经济部门对伦敦GVA水平及增长率、就业、家庭收入和家庭支出的中长期预测的当前版本及历史版本链接。此外，还包括对经济特定部门就业和GVA增长及水平的预测。

* 所有产出变量均以基本价格计算产出量。最新数据集的价格基准为2011年。
* 所有增长率均以年度百分比变化表示。
* 所有就业水平均以百万为单位。
* 所有产出水平均以亿英镑为单位。