Predicted intermittency of small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin based on historic flow data

Our objective was to model intermittency (perennial, weakly intermittent, or strongly intermittent) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate.We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between intermittency on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected intermittency status to ungaged reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin using environmental variables for each raster stream cell in the basin. This data layer shows modeled values for intermittency of each stream cell.