Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets
收藏NBER2026-01-01 更新2026-01-24 收录
下载链接：
https://www.nber.org/papers/w34702
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资源简介：
Prediction markets offer a new market-based approach to measuring macroeconomic expectations in real-time. We evaluate the accuracy of prediction market-implied forecasts from Kalshi, the largest federally regulated prediction market overseen by the CFTC. We compare Kalshi with more traditional
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2026-01-01
