Data and Code for: The electric vehicle transition and the economics of banning gasoline vehicles

Electric vehicles have a unique potential to transform personal transportation. We
analyze this transition with a dynamic model capturing falling costs of electric vehicles, decreasing pollution from electricity, and increasing vehicle substitutability. Our
calibration to the US market shows a transition from gasoline vehicles is not optimal
at current substitutability: a gasoline vehicle production ban would have large deadweight loss. At higher substitutability, a ban can reduce deadweight loss from vehicle
mix and adoption timing inefficiencies. A cumulative gasoline vehicle production quota
has smaller deadweight loss, and an electric vehicle purchase subsidy is more robust to
regulator misperceptions about substitutability.

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