ARCTIC MARINE FOREST DISTRIBUTION MODELS SHOWCASE SEVERE LOSSES UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE

Our main objective was to investigate potential gains and losses in northern hemisphere marine forest habitat along temperate and Arctic coastlines under different climate change scenarios. In particular, we sought to investigate anticipated responses according to three ecosystem distribution categories: cryophilic marine forest species with high affinity for the Arctic environment (i.e. oceanic benthic waters with a min annual temperature of ca. -1.5oC), cryotolerant species occurring in cold-temperate and Arctic conditions, and cryophobic species restricted to cold-temperate with no current range in the Arctic environment (as defined above). <br>The datasets provided here include the occurrence records for training models, area calculations for both threshold and probabilistic predictions for each species and each climate change scenario, and the maxent predictions for each species, including the stacked predictions, and for each climate change scenario.<br><br>v5 provides updated models, which were revised in light of reviewer feedback. The original models are no longer provided, as they as superseded by the current versions here.<br>For threshold predictions, yellow=occurrence, blue=no occurrence. For probabilistic predictions, dark blue-&gt;light blue refers to 0-&gt;1.0 probability of occurrence.<br>