Replication Data for: A Theory of Protest Escalation

I use a Facebook survey experiment to test the impact of political polarization and depolarization on respondents’ willingness to engage in social protest in Brazil and Turkey. In Brazil, the vast majority of willing protesters are non-partisan such that the depolarization treatment increases the total pool of protesters while the polarization treatment diminishes it. In Turkey, the exact opposite is true: most potential protesters are CHP or HDP protesters opposed to the AKP government, such that polarization increases their willingness to protest and depolarization diminishes it. Aside from verifying my overall theoretical argument, the experiment is useful for understanding the magnitude of the studied effects.