The Garnaut Review of Climate Change; 2008
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https://researchdata.edu.au/garnaut-review-climate-change-2008/394810
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资源简介:
Economist Ross Garnaut Reviewed the impacts of Climate Change. This was part of a contributed report estimating the impacts of climate change on human health outcomes.
A simple climate model at a climate sensitivity of 3°C (MAGICC, developed by Sarah Raper and Tom Wigley and used by the IPCC). 3°C is the mid-point estimate of sensitivity from IPCC AR4, and produces a warming of 4.53°C from 1990 (all changes given are from a baseline of 1990).
Temperature, rainfall and relative humidity have been calculated from patterns of change from a range of climate models that have been tested and screened for their ability to simulate climate in the Australian region. Details can be found in the CSIRO/BoM 2007 climate projections for Australia.
Our work used these climate scenarios to estimate future patterns of disease likely to occur under such changed meteorological conditions.
提供机构:
The Australian National University



