Analysis of COVID-19 pre-vaccination data assuming a lower mortality rate for second and subsequent waves.
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(A) Basic reproduction number R0(t); note its values are much smaller for Scenarios I and III than II. (B) Even though I and III have similar R0(t) profiles, estimated values for daily new infections and deaths are different. (C) Bimodal lognormal distribution continues to perform poorly even under assumption of lower mortality for post-first wave data. (ZIP)
创建时间：
2021-07-15
