A High-Resolution Global-Scale Model for COVID-19 Infection Rate
收藏资源简介：
This dataset contains all information to reproduce our experiment to produce a high-resolution global map (0.1°) of infection-rate risk for COVID-19, based on temperature, precipitation, and CO2. The produced risk index map predicts most of the areas with an actual high risk (87% accuracy), which are characterized by a moderate-high level of CO2, moderate-low temperatures, and a moderate level of precipitation. With respect to our previous model (https://zenodo.org/record/3945495#.YG7UEugzaUk) - which had a coarser 0.5° resolution - this new model is much more accurate at predicting real-world scenarios that reported both high and low infection rates in 2020 (80% accuracy). <strong>Explanation of data and images:</strong> comparisonvert.png -> Visualisation of the output produced by our model: (a) distribution of high-infection-rate areas using the MaxEnt balanced threshold (0.008), (b) probability peak areas (0.13 threshold), (c) overlap between low infection rate countries extracted from real data and our risk map, and (d) highlight of low infection rate countries not predicted by our model<br> countries_high_rate.csv-> high-infection-rate countries<br> countries_low_rate.csv-> low-infection-rate countries<br> countries_low_rate_mispredicted.csv-> low-infection-rate countries mispredicted by our model<br> covid_derivatives.csv-> extracted average derivatives of world countries covid_risk.csv->Risk Map dataset<br> gp.asc-> MaxEnt distribution raster<br> LowDerivativeRegions.png->low-infection-rate countries - image<br> MaxEnt distribution.png->distribution of high-infection-rate areas using the MaxEnt balanced threshold (0.008) - image<br> MaxEnt peaks.png-> MaxEnt probability peak areas (0.13 threshold)<br> Precipitation.png->Average precipitation 2000-2005<br> RiskMap.png-> New high-infection-rate risk map based on a 0.1° resolution MaxEnt model<br> RiskMap05.png->our previous risk map based on a 0.5° resolution MaxEnt model<br> riskmapcomparison.png-> Visual comparison between (a) our new high-infection-rate risk map based on a 0.1° resolution MaxEnt model and (b) our previous risk map based on a 0.5° resolution MaxEnt model.<br> RiskMapOverlap_mispredicted.png->highlight of low infection rate countries not predicted by our model<br> Temperature.png->Average Surface Air Temperature 2000-2005<br> time_series_covid19_confirmed_global.csv->World COVID-19 reports up to April 2021
