Competing Approaches to Forecasting Elections: Economic Models, Opinion Polling and Prediction Markets
收藏NBER2006-02-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w12053
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资源简介：
We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This
提供机构：
美国国家经济研究局
创建时间：
2006-02-01
