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How Credible is the Credibility Revolution?

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NBER2023-09-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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https://www.nber.org/papers/w31666
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When economists analyze a well-conducted RCT or natural experiment and find a statistically significant effect, they conclude the null of no effect is unlikely to be true. But how frequently is this conclusion warranted? The answer depends on the proportion of tested nulls that are true and the
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2023-09-01
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