Modeling of Wind Resources on Mozambique Considering a Climate Change Scenario

Abstract This work presents the application of the dynamic downscaling technique on the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS6.0) forced by output fields of the global circulation model HadGEM2-ES, to estimate the wind potential over the regions of Mozambique considering the climate change scenario defined by IPCC. The results showed satisfactory performance of the RAMS6.0 model in the reproduction of mean patterns of wind fields obtained in the reanalysis compared to CFSR and MERRA during the period 1985-2005. Winds fields at 10, 50 and 100 meters Considering conditions of the IPCC emission scenario (RCP8.5) for the period 2079-2099 showed higher values in relation to the wind fields for the period 1985-2005. Furthermore, there is evidence of an increase in the wind power over regions of Mozambique for the period 2079-2099, particularly during winter in the central and southern regions of the country.