Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Tropical Cyclone Forecasts Weather and Forecasting
收藏NOAA Institutional Repository2025-08-27 更新2026-04-25 收录
下载链接：
https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0093.1
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资源简介：
Development of a 12-ft-seas significant wave height ensemble consistent with the official tropical cyclone intensity, track, and wind structure forecasts and their errors from the operational U.S. tropical cyclone forecast centers is described. To generate the significant wave height ensemble, a Monte Carlo wind speed probability algorithm that produces forecast ensemble members is used. These forecast ensemble members, each created from the official forecast and randomly sampled errors from historical official forecast errors, are then created immediately after the official forecast is completed.
提供机构：
NOAA
创建时间：
2025-08-27
