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Forecasting developing Asian economies during normal times and large external shocks: Approaches and challenges

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Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development2026-04-11 收录
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https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/forecasting-developing-asian-economies-during-normal-times-and-large-external-shocks-approaches-and-challenges_5a1c4c48-en.html
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Predicting future economic trends appropriately is essential to economic policy making. Currently, the DSGE model approach is a benchmark economic forecasting technique widely employed. However, large external shocks, such as large-scale natural disasters and COVID-19, challenge current approaches to economic forecasting. Multiple approaches will...
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