Crude Supply Risk

This index captures the price influence of changes in oil supply on a weekly basis. Factors are assessed on the country level: A positive score indicates a bullish supply impact on price, whereas a negative score indicates a bearish impact. The absolute value of the score is an indicator of the magnitude of the impact. The global price risk index is an aggregate of country-level risk scores, weighted by the country’s share of global crude and condensate capacity.

It is comprised of six factors:

- Political Violence score measures the likelihood of state failure, civil war, coups and coup attempts, revolution and/or public unrest, and terrorism in a country, based on recent history and current dynamics
- Geopolitical Risk score measures the degree to which a country is vulnerable to the threat of external war or conflict with its neighbours, as well as risks emanating from broader geopolitical tensions including sanctions and/or reputational risk
- Export Risk score is an assessment of constraints on the export of oil
- Facility and Personnel Violence score assesses the presence of various threats to both energy company personnel and facilities
- Ministerial/Policy Volatility score measures the risk of frequent or unpredictable changes in government policies and/or sector leadership affecting oil production and/or exports
- Labor Unrest measures the risk of changes to work force

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Sample Tables:<br/>A ) COUNTRY_SCORES<br/>B ) COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES

Sample Fields:<br/>A ) COUNTRY_SCORES

- RISK_SCORE_ID
- SCORING_DATE
- POLITICAL_VIOLENCE
- GEOPOLITICAL_RISK
- EXPORT_RISK
- MINISTERIAL_POLICY_VOLATILITY
- FACILITY_AND_PERSONNEL_VIOLENCE
- LABOR_UNREST
- OVERALL_COUNTRY_PRICE_RISK
- CRUDE_CAPACITY
- GLOBAL_CAPACITY
- INDUSTRY_SHOCK
- GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK
- COUNTRY

B ) COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES

- RISK_SCORE_ID
- SCORING_DATE
- TOTAL_GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK
- TOTAL_GLOBAL_PRICE_RISK_NORMALISED

View Descriptions:

- COUNTRY_SCORES - Get Oil Supply risk country scores
- COUNTRY_TOTAL_SCORES - Get Oil Supply risk country total scores
- CRUDESUPPLYRISK_DICTIONARY - Contains descriptions and examples of each of the columns in the above views for a better understanding of the dataset