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The Predictive Ability of Several Models of Exchange Rate Volatility

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NBER1994-01-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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We compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of univariate homoskedastic, GARCH, autoregressive and nonparametric models for conditional variances, using five bilateral weekly exchange rates for the dollar, 1973-1989. For a one week horizon, GARCH models tend to make slightly more accurate

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1994-01-01
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