A Hybrid Structure-Based Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Kinase Inhibition by Small Molecules

Kinases have been the focus of drug discovery programs for three decades leading to over 70 therapeutic kinase inhibitors and biophysical affinity measurements for over 130,000 kinase-compound pairs. Nonetheless, the precise target spectrum for many kinases remains only partly understood. In this study, we describe a computational approach to unlocking qualitative and quantitative kinome-wide binding measurements for structure-based machine learning. Our study has three components: (i) a Kinase Inhibitor Complex (KinCo) data set comprising in silico predicted kinase structures paired with experimental binding constants, (ii) a machine learning loss function that integrates qualitative and quantitative data for model training, and (iii) a structure-based machine learning model trained on KinCo. We show that our approach outperforms methods trained on crystal structures alone in predicting binary and quantitative kinase-compound interaction affinities; relative to structure-free methods, our approach also captures known kinase biochemistry and more successfully generalizes to distant kinase sequences and compound scaffolds.