Interrogating the Mechanistic Features of Ni(I)-Mediated Aryl Iodide Oxidative Addition Using Electroanalytical and Statistical Modeling Techniques

While the oxidative addition of Ni(I) to aryl iodides has been commonly proposed in catalytic methods, an in-depth mechanistic understanding of this fundamental process is still lacking. Herein, we describe a detailed mechanistic study of the oxidative addition process using electroanalytical and statistical modeling techniques. Electroanalytical techniques allowed rapid measurement of the oxidative addition rates for a diverse set of aryl iodide substrates and four classes of catalytically relevant complexes (Ni(MeBPy), Ni(MePhen), Ni(Terpy), and Ni(BPP)). With >200 experimental rate measurements, we were able to identify essential electronic and steric factors impacting the rate of oxidative addition through multivariate linear regression models. This has led to a classification of oxidative addition mechanisms, either through a three-center concerted or halogen-atom abstraction pathway based on the ligand type. A global heat map of predicted oxidative addition rates was created and shown applicable to a better understanding of the reaction outcome in a case study of a Ni-catalyzed coupling reaction.