Heatwave Hazard Assessment - Daily Temperature–Humidity Index (THI) Projections – Gridded and District-Level Ensemble Statistics (Historical, RCP4.5 & RCP8.5) for Aydın Province, Türkiye (CliResDairy)
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This dataset contains the heatwave hazard component of the dairy-sector climate risk assessment for Aydın Province, Türkiye, developed under the CLIMAAX project. The dataset provides daily Temperature–Humidity Index (THI) projections derived from EURO-CORDEX regional climate model outputs. THI is calculated using daily near-surface air temperature (tas) and relative humidity (hurs) and represents the intensity of heat stress affecting dairy cattle. The dataset includes both gridded (~0.11°, ~12 km resolution) and district-level aggregated outputs for historical and future climate scenarios. Daily Gridded THI (0.11° Resolution) Files: THI_daily_historical_1976-2005.zip THI_daily_rcp45_2041-2070.zip THI_daily_rcp85_2041-2070.zip Contains: Daily THI values per grid cell (~12 km resolution) Individual GCM–RCM ensemble member outputs Historical reference period (1976–2005) Future projections: RCP4.5 (2041–2070) RCP8.5 (2041–2070) Daily District-Level THI (Per Ensemble Member) Files: THI_daily_district_level_historical_1976-2005.zip THI_daily_district_level_rcp45_2041-2070.zip THI_daily_district_level_rcp85_2041-2070.zip Contains: Daily THI aggregated to district (ilçe) level Results per individual GCM–RCM ensemble member Historical and future scenarios Ensemble Statistics (District Level) File: THI_daily_ensemble_district_level.xlsx Contains daily district-level: Ensemble median THI 10th percentile (P10) 90th percentile (P90) for: Historical period (1976–2005) RCP4.5 (2041–2070) RCP8.5 (2041–2070) File: Plots.zip District-level THI maps (historical vs future) Cooling Fan count map File: 01_Heatwave_Hazard_Assessment.ipynb Contains the full modelling workflow, including: Climate data processing THI calculation District-level aggregation Ensemble statistics generation Visualisation procedures



