Means (SD) of posterior predictive distributions of the probability of vernal pools supporting wood frog breeding (ψ^1) at Rock Creek National Park, Washington, DC, USA.

Values were sampled from the entire posterior distribution and used to project the occupancy dynamics of wood frogs in population viability analyses. The breeding occupancy status in year t-1 is represented by rt−1 (0 = absent, 1 = present).a Metamorph occupancy state at t-2 (st−2) was not included as a covariate to increase the number of years for which we obtained estimates of occupancy.Means (SD) of posterior predictive distributions of the probability of vernal pools supporting wood frog breeding (ψ^1) at Rock Creek National Park, Washington, DC, USA.