Replication Data and Code for: "Dominant Currency Paradigm"
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https://www.openicpsr.org/openicpsr/project/111161/version/V1/view?path=/openicpsr/111161/fcr:versions/V1/firm_level&type=folder
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This document describes the replication files for the paper “Dominant Currency Paradigm” and its Online Appendix. Any references in this document to sections, figures, and tables refer to the main paper or Online Appendix. <br><br>Abstract of the original publication:<br> We propose a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ with three key features: dominant currency pricing, pricing complementarities, and imported inputs in production. We test this paradigm using a new data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs that covers 91% of world trade, as well as detailed firm-product-country data for Colombian exports and imports. In strong support of the paradigm we find that: (1) Non-commodities terms of trade are uncorrelated with exchange rates. (2) The dollar ex- change rate quantitatively dominates the bilateral exchange rate in price pass-through and trade elasticity regressions, and this effect is increasing in the share of imports invoiced in dollars. (3) U.S. import volumes are significantly less sensitive to bilateral exchange rates, compared to other countries’ imports. (4) A 1% U.S. dollar appreciation against all other currencies predicts a 0.6% decline within a year in the volume of total trade between coun- tries in the rest of the world, controlling for the global business cycle. We characterize the transmission of, and spillovers from, monetary policy shocks in this environment.
提供机构:
Harvard University. Department of Economics; Princeton University; Banco de la Republica; International Monetary Fund; University of California-Berkeley
创建时间:
2020-01-01



